Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.359237 1.635815 1.974266 2.425713 3.022713 3.800869e+00 4.919134
2024-12-29 1.001974 1.333553 1.800118 2.532564 3.710698 5.648056e+00 9.370690
2025-01-05 0.791564 1.125894 1.643299 2.557662 4.272608 7.718231e+00 16.521020
2025-01-12 0.643565 0.958208 1.478886 2.482995 4.606757 9.663091e+00 26.634397
2025-01-19 0.546121 0.843075 1.361721 2.437524 4.965522 1.202521e+01 43.693312
2025-01-26 0.501765 0.804748 1.365462 2.626561 5.976935 1.741369e+01 95.962528
2025-02-02 0.459772 0.760863 1.345627 2.755842 6.943050 2.436667e+01 224.330728
2025-02-09 0.413980 0.701035 1.278928 2.748948 7.518820 3.106699e+01 501.549617
2025-02-16 0.370803 0.639012 1.194077 2.666385 7.800660 3.720637e+01 1119.343036
2025-02-23 0.344156 0.605339 1.163730 2.721323 8.662624 5.017796e+01 4857.932272
2025-03-02 0.325050 0.583881 1.156263 2.840654 9.936007 7.305580e+01 111357.106141
2025-03-09 0.303260 0.553623 1.122010 2.867191 10.845528 9.922124e+01 NaN
2025-03-16 0.276887 0.510918 1.051606 2.760150 11.029615 1.191323e+02 NaN
2025-03-23 0.263664 0.495272 1.046304 2.875086 12.664149 1.894387e+02 NaN
2025-03-30 0.248136 0.472499 1.018512 2.901838 13.846872 2.805287e+02 NaN
2025-04-06 0.230026 0.441792 0.964599 2.813123 14.156770 3.586066e+02 NaN
2025-04-13 0.215151 0.416971 0.922835 2.759432 14.721524 4.882262e+02 NaN
2025-04-20 0.210701 0.415914 0.946510 2.982248 18.070847 1.209706e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 0.204118 0.408961 0.952235 3.135137 21.264620 3.222636e+03 NaN
2025-05-04 0.193712 0.391584 0.924461 3.126970 22.793424 6.808230e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 0.182018 0.369940 0.880774 3.029291 23.112275 1.171062e+04 NaN
2025-05-18 0.175190 0.359792 0.870748 3.094269 25.884052 5.740242e+04 NaN
2025-05-25 0.170469 0.354466 0.874895 3.235649 30.442228 7.496574e+06 NaN